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Take advantage of the Capital Properties Pinnacle Support Program

Are you On Track or off track to meet your goals?

So much has changed in the world of finance and property investment in the last couple of years. If you haven’t been keeping up with these changes, you might be missing out on some serious opportunities. Even if you’ve been staying up to date with our Capital Properties news posts, it’s important to make sure you’re still on track to meet YOUR goals.

The experts at Capital Properties recommend taking time at least once a year to meet and re-evaluate your property investment and long term financial and lifestyle goals. During this catch up we can make sure you’re on track to achieve your goals and are actively taking the next best steps to get you there. So, if you’re due for a review, don’t put it off a second longer. Book in here.

The Capital Properties Property Investment Tools & Apps and essential resources from our Capital Properties Pinnacle Support Program will help you take stock and make smart decisions for now and the long-term.

On the go? Here’s 30 seconds of take outs:

  • It’s vital to regularly review your progress against your goals. Make sure you’re on track and know the next steps to take to achieve your long-term vision.
  • Working on your financial, lifestyle and property goals can feel overwhelming. We’re here to help with a range of free tools and our Pinnacle Support Program review.
  • Our Pinnacle Support Program Review supports you to achieve what’s important to you – and it can all be done over the phone to fit in with your schedule.

Keep reading >>

Still set to achieve your goals?

Due for a review? We know that life gets busy, and the weeks turn into months so quickly, before you know it years can have flown by. It’s easy to feel overwhelmed with so much to keep on top of. Can you be sure that you’re consistently doing everything you need to maximise your potential and achieve your goals?

That’s where we can help. We developed the Capital Properties Pinnacle Support Program to make sure you stay on top of your game with as little effort as possible. If you’re not confidently answering these questions below, then get in touch for a review so we can make sure you’re still on track.

Ask yourself truthfully:

  • Am I clear on what my end goals look like?
  • Am I on track to achieve those goals?
  • When was the last time I updated my Asset and Liabilities spreadsheet?
  • Are my weekly, monthly, yearly tasks all set to achieve my goals?
  • When was the last time I did a desktop valuation / full valuation of my investment property?
  • Are my tax returns up to date?
  • Am I up to date with the latest statistics for my property’s suburb?
  • When was the last time I viewed a suburb profile for my property’s area?

Do I know what I need to do next to progress my goals?

Lifestyle goals changed?

Property investing is a journey not a destination. Some of your goals can take 10 to 20 years and it’s normal to feel some resistance along the way – that’s just life!

In the last few years, I’ve taken stock of my total property deals since I first began investing in 1998. From starting as an absolute novice to completing over $6million in property transactions, grossing over $2million. In my early days in the Navy, I couldn’t have dreamed of this kind of financial security. But I applied the Capital Properties Property Investment strategies and stuck to my goals, even when it wasn’t easy.  In fact, it’s during the tough times that these strategies and our expertise can really make the difference.

“When everything seems to be going against you remember that the airplane takes off against the wind, not with it.” Henry Ford

Setting goals and achieving them means more than making money. It’s helped me realise the lifelong dream I had to build my dream home. I’ve created generational wealth to make sure my family is looked after. And I’ve developed relationships with professionals that means Capital Properties continues to grow and thrive so we can share our success with you.

Let’s take stock

Even if you feel like you’re in a great place right now and your investment(s) is working hard for you, it’s worthwhile taking a moment to re-evaluate. Like the property investors hymn says “One property is good. Two is better. Three offers more opportunities. Four or more becomes a challenge to manage but really opens up your options and the ability to get set up.”

Review financial & lifestyle objectives

Simple and yet profound! Get started by taking our Investor self-evaluation test with our free Capital Properties Goal Setting Toolkit

  • Mind map your goals
  • Write a plan outlining how to achieve your goals

Create an action list

Complete an Assets and Liabilities Worksheet

This is the easiest way to get a visual on your inflows and outgoings. Your financial situation will become clear and you’ll be able to see where you need to make changes. Also, where you can make the most of opportunities. You’ll find the Capital Properties Net Asset Position Calculator and Assets & Liability Calculator here.

Take it further with the Pinnacle Support Program

Book in for your Pinnacle Support Program Client Review here. Here’s a taste of what you can expect:

– Latest property data and research

To help you evaluate your investment property(s) cash flow position and comparative market analysis, we’ll review the latest data including:

  • RPdata suburb and statistics reports for each property
  • Residex suburb reports
  • The latest Forecast ID demographic reports
  • Desktop and full valuations
  • Rental manager feedback and reviews

The latest vacancy rates data

– Strategy development

Once you know how your investment(s) has performed we’ll work out an individualised strategy to continue building your wealth. Our finance team will confirm your new borrowing capacity. From there we can discern the next best steps forward. That might look like one of the three options below.

  • Option A. Capacity for a new purchase

If you have capacity, we can start to explore property investment opportunities in line with your budget and goals. We know you’re busy, so much of the process can be executed over the phone to work within your Defence Force schedule.

  • Option B. Increasing capacity

If your current situation doesn’t allow you to make your next investment just yet we’ll give you some steps to implement, such as tenancy and maintenance tips that will increase your capacity and help you get closer to what’s important to you.

  • Option C. Consolidation

You might want to consolidate your finance, find better than your current interest rates and reduce your investment/personal debt. Our finance team can assist you with negotiating interest rates directly with the bank and/or refinancing your current loans.

Again, if it suits you better and to save your valuable time, we can do all, or most of this over the phone.

The next best step?

We want you to realise your financial and lifestyle goals using our tried and tested property investment strategies. And we know that the unique demands of Defence life mean you don’t always have time to stay updated and make sure your investment(s) is working the hardest for you.

Our Pinnacle Support Program is designed to make this process as easy and efficient as possible. After completing the Pinnacle Support Program Client Review you’ll have a clearer vision of your current situation and what’s important for you do on a day to day basis to achieve your goals. As the proverb says: ‘Iron sharpens iron, so one person sharpens another’. So, if you’re due for a review, the sooner we get to it the better.

We designed our Capital Properties Switched-On Strategy Series and Capital Properties Pinnacle Support Program for you. Along with free investor tools like our Property Investor – Self Evaluation Tool, we’ll make sure you reach your goals.

Call us on 1300 653 352 to get the ball rolling.

What is gearing?

In property investment, the term ‘gearing’ describes borrowing money to buy a property. In other words, if you take out a loan to buy a rental property, your investment is geared. Most investors use some gearing – aka, a loan or mortgage, to fund their rental property.

Gearing also determines the cashflow of your investment. Cashflow is the amount of money you have when you’ve received rent from your tenant minus the expenses associated with the property. In summary: cashflow = total rental income – total rental property expenses. In this blog post, we’ll explore the concepts of negative, neutral, or positive gearing and cashflow and explain what it means for property investment.

Positive, neutral and negative gearing strategies have different benefits and risks. So, making the decision about how to gear your property should be made according to your personal circumstances, risk tolerances, current income and property investment goals. We can help you decide what which option is best for you at our free Capital Properties Discovery Session.

On the go? Here’s 30 seconds of take outs:

  • Gearing describesborrowing money to buy an asset.
  • Cashflow = total rental income – total rental property expenses.
  • There are 3 types of gearing: positive, neutral and negative.
  • Positively geared = the rental return is more than your expenses.
    • Pros = Positive cash flow, great for investors, passive income.
    • Cons = Taxed, less positively geared properties, less capital growth.
  • Negatively geared = rental return is less than expenses.
    • Pros = Long-term capital growth, tax deduction & high rental demand
    • Cons = Capital loss, limited cashflow & potentially more volatile.
  • Neutrally geared= the income and expenses are equal.
    • Pros = Tax neutral, less risk, great for investing with super.
    • Cons = Hard to maintain, neutral cashflow, unpredictable.
  • When you sell the property for profit you’ll have to pay capital gains tax.

Keep reading >>

Why is ‘gearing’ important?

When you borrow funds to invest in an investment property, the aim is to generate an income from the asset. This income might come from the rent, or capital gains, or a combination of both.

The income earned will either positively, negatively or neutrally geared, depending on the amount you are paying back to your lender and other expenses.

A positively geared property means that your rental return (i.e. the rental income you receive from your tenants) is higher than your interest repayments and other property-related expenses.

A negatively geared property means your rental return is less than the amount you must pay on interest repayments and property-related expenses.

A property is neutrally geared if the income and expenses are equal and balance each other out.

Pros & cons of NEGATIVE gearing

Negative gearing happens when the rental income generated by an investment property is less than the expenses for owning and maintaining the property. Although this might seem like a loss when you have to pay money out of your own pocket, there are some immediate and long-term benefits to negative gearing, as long as you can confidently cover the costs through other investments or your Defence Force income.

Pros of negative gearing

Long-term capital growth

Many investors will purchase a property in a location with strong predicted future growth (usually between 7 to 10 years) so when it grows in value, they can sell it for a profit. With the right property, the gains from capital appreciation will outweigh the losses over the previous years.

Tax deduction

One of the main advantages of negatively gearing an investment property is the ability to offset any loss incurred during that financial year against your salary and any other income you earn. This reduces your overall taxable income and how much tax you have to pay.

You can claim tax deductions on depreciation on the actual property, building works and maintenance, capital goods e.g. dishwasher or washing machine, property management fees, body corporate fees, insurances, land tax, stamp duty, mortgage fees, council and water rates etc. In many cases, the tax savings can be greater than the total net loss of the negatively geared property.

Low rents = high demand

Maintaining lower rents helps to create great long-term relationships between tenants and landlords, resulting in less agency fees and costs to advertise for new tenants. It usually means that the property is less likely to be vacant for long periods of time.

Note, in Australia, there have been calls (in particular by the Greens party) to phase out negative gearing in order to address the housing crisis. But the Albanese government is clear that the policy is not up for review, saying in a memo We have no plans to change negative gearing rules, and don’t intend to reheat policies from the 2019 election”.

Cons of negative gearing

Capital loss

Although properties will usually experience capital growth, it’s possible that the property market could fall in the area you invest in. That’s why it’s key to do your research before you invest. Our experts write blog posts like “How to buy well” to help you with this, though a one on one chat with our Buyer’s Agent will be even better. 

Limited cash flow

If you’re highly geared, you’re more vulnerable to rate rises, which can tighten your cash flow. Less cash flow also means a reduction in your borrowing capacity, making it harder to grow your portfolio.

Potentially more volatile

If you lose your main source of income or can’t find tenants for an extended period of time – you may not be able to cover your loan and interest repayments. Defaulting on payments means increased fees and could even result in having your property repossessed.

Pros & cons of NEUTRAL gearing

Neutral gearing is also known as break-even gearing or cashflow-neutral. This happens when the rental income just covers the expenses associated with the investment property. There may be a small loss or profit, but it’s insignificant enough to make any changes to your tax status. In reality though, neural gearing is a strategy that’s difficult to maintain due to fluctuations in income and expenses.

Pros of neutral gearing

Tax neutral

Neutral gearing doesn’t provide immediate tax benefits in the same way as negative gearing, however the interest and other charges involved with borrowing money can be deducted from your overall taxable income. If your income and spending remains the same, there will be no change to your tax status.

Less risk

In a neutrally geared property, there are little to no costs related to its upkeep. This reduces the immediate financial burden, allows a more predictable cashflow and is an attractive option for risk-averse multi-property investors who stand to benefit from capital gains. 

Great use of super

Neutral gearing works well when you’re investing through a self-managed super fund (SMSF), as it doesn’t reduce the fund’s wealth.

Cons of neutral gearing

Hard to maintain

Neutral gearing doesn’t usually happen naturally as there are always going to be fluctuations in rates, expenses, tenancies etc. Unless you’re a seasoned property investor with a significant property investment portfolio and a flexible accountant, it’s unlikely you’ll be able to maintain neutral gearing consistently.

Neutral gearing – neutral cashflow

If you’re not prepared for changes, e.g. increasing rates if your loan’s coming off a fixed rate, managing cashflow in a neutrally geared property can be challenging. You could inadvertently end up in a negatively geared situation and struggle to meet the demand of the increased expenses.

Unpredictable

No matter how stable your current income and circumstances, there’s always a possibility that something might change and create a very different financial situation. Think illness, divorce etc. Inadvertently falling below the minimum threshold and/or having to default on your loan might mean that you’ll have to make an immediate additional cash deposit or sell other investments to cover penalties. Your lender could also ask for the loan to be repaid in full immediately.

Pros & cons of POSITIVE gearing

When the rental income from an investment property exceeds the expenses, this is called positive gearing. That means the rental payments from your tenants will cover all maintenance costs, mortgage fees, interest payments etc, as well as an amount of superfluous cash!

Pros of positive gearing

Positive gearing = more cash flow

Positive gearing leads to positive cash flow and ongoing profits which can be a useful income stream for investors. That immediate income can be used to top up daily expenses, pay down the mortgage, put into savings, or re-invested. A positive cash flow also means less pressure if your financial circumstances change.

Great for investors

Positively geared properties are considered less risky than negatively geared properties and that makes them highly attractive investments. Investors with positively geared properties will usually find it easier to secure another home loan, which will help to expand their property investment portfolios.

Passive income

Buying a positively geared investment property means that you’re able to generate a steady income stream while still being able to benefit from the property’s long-term capital growth.

Taxable rental income

When your property is positively geared, the net rental income is subject to income tax, along with your other sources of income, so you can expect a hit at the end of the year. However, you can claim on depreciation, mortgage interest and any rental expenses to maximise your returns.

Finding positively geared properties

In Australia, 60% of investment properties are negatively geared. So positively geared properties are in high demand. And of course, high demand = higher prices and that often means lower rental yields. Therefore, it’s vital to consider if the cash flow covers interest rate fluctuations, vacancy periods, maintenance costs etc.

Less capital growth

Positively geared properties often tend to be in rural or regional areas, which may not deliver the same capital growth.

Consider capital gains tax (CGT)

We can’t discuss gearing without quickly referring to capital gains tax. Just as we pay tax on any income, we must also pay tax on any net profit we make when we sell a property. As the profit is generally a capital gain, the tax on this profit is called the capital gains tax (CGT).

The amount of CGT we pay depends on multiple factors. For example:

  • The property purchase price.
  • Time of ownership– You may be eligible for a discount on your CGT if you sell for a profit after more than a year of ownership. Note, CGT does not apply to your primary residence if it hasn’t generated an income.
  • Property sale price.
  • Your current taxable income. Capital gains are taxed at the same rate as taxable income.

Other relevant costs = purchase or sale costs including renovations or marketing.

So, what’s best for you? Negative, Neutral, or Positive (Cashflow)

Gearing plays a vital role in property investment, and understanding gearing and cashflow is vital for ADF members to make informed decisions. Negative, neutral, and positive gearing each have their own advantages and disadvantages and in an ideal world, a well-balanced investment portfolio might contain each. Ultimately, choosing the best gearing depends on your individual circumstances and investment goals.

At Capital Properties, our experts work with you to thoroughly assess your personal financial situation, including your income, expenses, and ability to service loans. As well as determining your risk tolerance and long-term financial goals. We’ll help you evaluate the current property market and best potential growth prospects and understand the impact of negative, neutral, or positive gearing on your tax position.

Our mission is to make sure you have the knowledge, confidence and tools to successfully navigate property investment alongside your commitment to the Australian Defence Force for financial future security.

Loan coming off a fixed rate this year? How to prepare

How to prepare for coming off a fixed rate mortgage

As an Australian Defence Force (ADF) member, you should already be clued-up about the importance of having a solid financial plan. Whether you’re new to saving/investing or already have a great Post Defence Force Property Strategy, being prepared for contingencies is vital. And that means being prepared for adjustments in your mortgage arrangements.

If you’re one of the thousands of Aussies who were clever enough to get their hands on a low-interest fixed rate home loan in 2020/2021, you might be fast approaching the end of your fixed term. That’s likely to mean you’ll be adjusting from a mortgage rate of around 2% to somewhere between 5-7%. So, taking action now is a wise move.

In this blog post, the experts at Capital Properties explain what it means when your loan is coming off a fixed rate. And how to prepare for the end of your fixed term mortgage.

At Capital Properties we’ve helped thousands of ADF members to successfully invest in property for their future financial security. Attending our FREE Capital Properties Discovery Session is the best way to get started. And if you’re already making smart investment decisions, remember to take advantage of our Property Investment Tools & Apps and valuable Capital Properties Pinnacle Support Program resources.

On the go? Here’s 30 seconds of take outs:

  • When a fixed rate period ends it’ll usually return to the current variable rate
  • A rate jump of 2.00% to 5.00% on a $500k x 20yr mortgage costs $770pm more
  • Use the Capital Properties Budget Planner to work out your budget
  • Make extra repayments now, if possible
  • Consider an offset account
  • Compare other lenders rates with Canstar or lendi
  • Investigate refinancing options at least 3 months before your fixed rate ends and negotiate a better rate with your lender
  • Decide between a fixed rate, variable rate or a spilt-rate home loan
  • A good mortgage broker will help you get the best deal

Keep reading >>

What to do with your loan coming off a fixed rate this year

First, let’s fill you in on what happens when your fixed rate period ends. If your fixed rate home loan expires before you take any action, it’ll usually return to the lender’s current variable rate. You should get a letter from your bank/lender explaining what’s about to happen, but you won’t usually have to sign anything, so many people just let it slide. Which is exactly what your bank wants, as your new rate will most likely be a lot higher than you’re used to and probably higher than other variable interest rates on the market too. Ignoring the increase is a costly mistake. For example, an interest rate jump from 2.00% to 5.00%, (based on a balance of $500k over 20 years), will cost $770 more per month!

So, the earlier you prepare for the inevitable, the better. Here’s our experts’ advice to help you find a better home loan deal with a more competitive interest rate when you’re coming off a fixed rate.

Start saving now

If you’re one of the lucky ones to have secured a fixed rate under 2%, you should have been laughing all the way to the bank for the past couple of years. Ideally, you’ll have made good use of that and will already have a nest egg (in a high interest savings account) to rely on. If not, it’s still not too late. We recommend working out what the new monthly repayments are likely to be when you come off the fixed rate and start factoring that into your payments now.

Then the work starts with really figuring out your budget. The Capital Properties Budget Planner is a great tool that makes this task easier. If the budget is looking tight, your next step to take is figure out where you can make savings. That might mean cutting back on non-essential spending for a while, paying off credit card debts and/or get on the phone and start negotiating for a better rate with your utility and insurance providers for example. Our blog post “5 top tips to start your savings plan” is a great place to start.

Make extra repayments

If you can, it’s wise to try and pay off as much of your home loan as possible before your fixed rate ends. Although many fixed rate loans have restrictions on making extra repayments, some will allow additional restricted repayments, sometimes up to $10,000 a year. So, again, get on the phone to your lender and ask what they’ll allow.

Reducing your home loan balance before the inevitable interest rate increase could save you heaps on interest payments and give you a decent buffer.

Consider an offset account 

If the idea of a high interest savings account doesn’t appeal, or you can’t find one that offers a good enough rate, then it’s worth considering an offset account. This is effectively like a savings account that’s linked to your home loan which allows you to offset some of the interest you pay on your mortgage. That means, if you have a balance of $500k and you put $100k into your offset account, you’ll only have to pay interest on $400,000.

Again, there may be restrictions in opening an offset account on a fixed rate mortgage, but it’ll certainly be available on your new variable rate mortgage.

Get competitive quotes

If your loan’s coming off a fixed rate this year, there’s no obligation to stay with your existing lender. Now is the perfect time to do your research and compare other lenders rates to see if you can get a better deal. Use a service like Canstar or lendi to see what other lenders are offering, or find a good Mortgage Broker and get their advice.

Our blog post “10 questions to find the right mortgage broker for you” will help you identify what a good mortgage broker looks like. Or just call us on 1300 653 352 or email [email protected] and we’ll put you in touch with the best.

Let the negotiations begin

If you don’t ask, you don’t get. It’s amazing how many people forget that it’s possible to negotiate with your existing lender. But that one phone call has the potential to save you thousands of dollars a year. Tell them what you’ve found from your research of other lenders and ask your bank to match the best deals. Even if you have no intention of going with another lender, using the threat of the possibility of that happening is a useful negotiation tool.

Consider refinancing

If your existing lender won’t come to the party, then put that research you’ve done to good use and consider if it’s worth refinancing your home loan. Some lenders offer better loan features, e.g. cash-back deals and others will have lower interest rates or lower fees that could save you hundreds.

If your loan’s coming off a fixed rate this year, we’d suggest looking at your refinancing options asap – ideally around 3 months before. Although property values have started trending upwards again recently, it’s best to allow a buffer just in case your property does go down in value. The value is based on current comparable sales, and will last for 90 – 180 days, so if you start earlier, you’re giving yourself the best chance of getting the best valuation possible.

Remember to factor in any additional fees that might be associated with refinancing, such as application fees or legal fees. Especially if you decide to start the process early and want to roll-over to your new loan before your loan comes off the current fixed rate.

What to look for in a new home loan

If you decide that refinancing is the best option for you, it’s essential to negotiate the best deal possible. Consider if another fixed rate loan is better than a variable rate. Or would you prefer to have the opportunity to create an offset account and make extra repayments?

If you like the idea of the flexibility of a variable mortgage with the stability/predictability of a fixed rate mortgage, a spilt-rate home loan might suit you better. For example, with a split-rate loan, you could divide a $500k home loan into a 60% fixed interest rate and 40% variable interest rate, meaning $300k would be fixed and $200k would be variable.

Still not sure how to prepare? Ask an expert

If you don’t have the time or energy to research the home loan, or aren’t sure which loan is best for your circumstances, then we strongly recommend that you talk to an expert. A good mortgage broker will help you decipher the ins and outs of home loan refinancing. And, because they have access to deals that you couldn’t find elsewhere, they could save you lots of money on unnecessary fees.

Where to get help if you’re in strife

If you’ve found yourself in the position where your loan’s coming off a fixed rate this year and you think you’ll struggle to pay your higher mortgage costs, then don’t delay, get help asap. You can get in touch with your lender directly and ask to speak to their financial hardship team. They may be able to offer a temporary pause on payments, or payment reductions for a set period of time.

If you’re in Queensland or the ACT, the state governments offer subsidised mortgage relief loans in circumstances such as unemployment or illness.

The Capital Properties team is working with many of our clients to help them prepare for a loan coming off a fixed rate this year. And we’d love to help you make an informed decision about your next steps so you can navigate these challenges and set yourself up for property investment success.

As always, the Capital Properties Switched-On Strategy Series and Pinnacle Support Program are designed to support you at every step of the way on your home-owning and investment journey. Get in touch now to find out more.

 

Investing this year / Understanding the trends

Understanding property market trends

Thinking of investing this year? Understanding the trends in the property market will help you decide if property investment is a viable wealth building strategy for you right now. In this blog post, the Capital Properties experts will examine current market trends that have the potential to affect your property investment decisions.

The property investment specialists at Capital Properties share the key trends happening in the Australian property market right now. Our FREE Discovery Session will explain how these trends can impact your property investment decisions and help you work out if investing this year is the right move for you.

On the go? Here’s 30 seconds of take outs:

  • Understanding the trends in the property market is vital for successful property investment.
  • Capital cities had a record-breaking annual rental increase of 11.7%.
  • Rental demand is driven by migrants, short-term visa holders & foreign students.
  • Australia’s population will increase by 900,000 by 2025 stimulating further demand.
  • Construction is under pressure – accounting for almost 1 in 3 insolvencies over the past year.
  • Home values are trending higher – up by 0.9% since early March.

Keep reading >>

2023 – a landlord’s market

So far in 2023, Australian landlords have enjoyed historically high rental prices across most capital and regional areas. Post-pandemic house rents have risen for eighth consecutive quarters by 31.4% which equates to $135 a week. While unit rents have increased by 34.1%, or $140 a week. In total, the combined capitals enjoyed a record-breaking annual rental increase of 11.7% in the past year, mostly driven by increasing demand for capital city units.

And apart from Canberra and Hobart, capital city vacancy rates are still near record lows causing a rental crisis in some areas. We discussed this before in the blog post “Housing affordability/ rental crisis/ extremely low vacancies. What does it all mean?”

What’s driving high rental demand?

As a property investor, understanding the trends of the rental market is vital. Right now, rental demand is being driven mostly by migrants, short-term visa holders and foreign students, who generally search for more affordable accommodation in medium to high density housing, with easy access to amenities.

In the 12 months from September 2021 to 2022, Australia welcomed almost 304,000 new migrants. And the pressure on the rental market is predicted to continue with a projected 650,000 migrants arriving in Australia over the next two financial years. If you also consider births, it’s expected that Australia’s population will increase by 900,000 by 2025.

This high rental demand is obviously great news for investors as it usually means higher rental income. However, rental income isn’t the only reason that investors consider property investment. Even when high interest rates mean that the operational costs of managing the property could exceed rental income for a period, there’s always the obvious benefits of capital gains and negative gearing. As Eliza Owen, Head of Residential Research at Corelogic says; “Negative gearing exists to help investors purchase real estate and provide rental housing when operational costs of the property exceed rental income.”

High rental demand = more demand for property

The rental market has been under significant pressure for some time in Australia. And as rental demands increase over the rest of this year, the need for available properties will obviously continue to grow. Lower stock levels are also likely to place upwards pressure on home prices, according to CoreLogic research director Tim Lawless. “With rental markets this tight, it’s likely we are seeing some spill over from renting into purchasing, although, with mortgage rates so high, not everyone who wants to buy will be able to qualify for a loan.” says Lawless.

With growing pressure in city markets, it’s expected that rents will continue to increase, meaning that many people will consider purchasing in surrounding satellite areas and suburbs, creating further demand for improved infrastructure and new housing.

The effect of inflation and interest rates on housing

If you’re not sure of the correlation between inflation and interest rates, then it’s worth having a quick skim of our post “What is the relationship between inflation and interest rates?”.

Although inflation peaked in the December quarter 2022, the most recent rate hike [May 3rd 2023] demonstrates that the Royal Bank of Australia (RBA) is concerned that at 7%, it’s still too high. So, it’s no surprise that many Aussies are being financially cautious, having endured the most rapid rate hiking cycle on record.

The RBA notes that reduced household spending is due to “a combination of higher interest rates, cost of living pressures and the earlier decline in housing prices” – despite data showing a recent more positive housing trend.

Most economists agree that this rate hiking cycle is nearly over with the RBA expecting to reach its goal of 3% by mid-2025. In fact, recent figures show an improved confidence in the property market with stronger demand for housing. CoreLogic noted in mid-April that home values are starting to trend higher, lifting by 0.9% since early March.

Pressure on construction

The construction industry has also felt the effects of inflation. High inflation means higher material and labour costs. Coupled with delays caused by supply chain disruptions and weather events, builders have been left with impossibly slim margins. And there are less buyers as new homebuyers struggle to negotiate these higher construction costs as well as rising interest rates. Inevitably, this situation has led to an unfortunate increase in insolvencies in the construction industry.

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) reports that over 400 construction companies have liquidated since the start of 2023 with almost 1,500 insolvencies since July 2022. The RBA’s financial stability review estimates that the construction sector made up approximately 30% (I in 3) of all company insolvencies over the past year.

House prices stabilising

CoreLogic’s report on 30th April 2023 showed that each of the four largest capitals had a lift in values with the second consecutive monthly rise in national housing values. This demonstrates an improvement in consumer confidence and is presumably in response to the factors mentioned earlier – increased demand due to migration, tight rental conditions, and low available supply. All of which show no sign of easing anytime soon.

Some property investors who sat on the sidelines through the downturn are assuming that the market has bottomed out and are all set for investing this year. It’s certain at least that the market will level out when interest rates have finally peaked and improved consumer confidence will drive both purchasing and selling activity in the property market.

Should you consider investing this year?

As a Defence Force member you might be wondering if it’s worth investing in property this year as part of your wealth-building strategy? At Capital Properties, we recognise that property investment is a long-term strategy, so although understanding the trends is vital for well-informed investment, short-term circumstances shouldn’t deter you from making smart investment decisions.

Ultimately, the decision about whether it’s worth investing this year comes down to whether YOU are ready or not. Even in more challenging markets, there are opportunities and incentives for ADF members to take advantage of. And in some cases, it’s better to act sooner rather than later and risk missing out on a great investment property. Our blog post “Buying a house while in the Defence Force” explains some of these ADF incentives.

If this is your first time in the market, then we recommend you check out our “Defence force first home buyer’s guide.”

At Capital Properties, we work with ADF members to maximise your chances of success. It’s our mission to help you identify the best markets to invest in and find properties that deliver great rental yields with potential for capital growth, and the ability to weather changes in the market and economic downturns.

The Capital Properties free Discovery Session will guide you with everything you need to know on how to buy well for effective property investment.

Check out our FREE investor tools: Sign Up to Our Switched-on Property Investors Program | Your free online property investment toolkit

Has US inflation peaked?

You may have heard talk last year about when and where US inflation would stabilise. Followed by headlines at the beginning of 2023 confirming that US inflation peaked in December 2022. Now, the question economists are trying to answer is how far, and how fast inflation will come down.

In this post we’ll answer the question, “what is inflation?”, explain the different types of inflation and how we measure inflation. Then, most importantly, we’ll explain what the current inflation rate means for Australia and the property market, now and in the near future.

If you’re interested in property investment as a way to build wealth and secure your financial future, then Capital Properties can make sure you’re on the right track. Book our FREE Capital Properties Discovery Session to get started.

Already on board? Don’t forget to take advantage of our Property Investment Tools & Apps and essential resources from our Capital Properties Pinnacle Support Program.

On the go? Here’s 30 seconds of take outs:

  • Inflation is the rate at which the prices for goods and services rises.
  • When inflation is ‘high’ you get less for your money.
  • The 3 types of inflation are demand-pull, cost-push & built-in inflation.
  • We measure inflation using the Consumer Price Index (CPI) & the Wholesale Price Index (WPI).
  • Inflation can be caused by many factors such as increased demand for goods & services, supply chain disruptions, natural disasters & government stimulus spending.
  • US inflation matters in Australia because it effects our exchange rate – which effects overseas investors.
  • Property investors recognise that inflation can raise the value of their assets.
  • It’s predicted that the inflation rate will gradually reduce toward the 2-3% target by the end of 2024 & drop to 2.5% in 2025.

Keep reading >>

What is inflation?

Inflation

It’s important to understand what inflation is and how it affects the economy. Inflation is the rate at which the prices for goods and services rises. Inflation has always fluctuated over time. In a healthy economy, there’s a gradual rise in overall price levels over time. That allows for moderate long-term interest rates, stable prices, and high employment rates. This ideally coincides with increasing wages, so people don’t have to be too concerned about increasing prices.

However, when inflation is ‘high’ the cost of goods increases so that your money effectively buys less. In these circumstance people become more careful with their spending which leads to a decrease in consumer confidence and result in slower economic growth.

Negative inflation, aka “deflation” is a sign that the economy is struggling and can potentially lead to a recession or depression.

Three types of inflation

Inflation can be classified into three types:

  1. Demand-pull inflation happens when the supply of money in the economy is increased. This boosts customer confidence and the demand for goods and services extends beyond the economy’s production capacity. This surge in demand then leads to price rises.
  2. Cost-push inflation is a type of inflation caused by increases in the cost of important goods or services where there’s no other alternative available (key commodities). When businesses have to pay higher prices for underlying ‘inputs’, they have to increase prices of their ‘outputs’ for their customers. For example, when the cost of oil goes up, the customer has to pay higher energy prices.
  3. Built-in inflation occurs when people anticipate that the price of goods and services will go up in the future so their demand for goods and services increase. As a result, the cost of the goods/services increases and workers demand higher salaries to maintain their standard of living. This is known as the wage-price spiral.

How do we measure inflation?

Here in Australia, there are 2 main measures of inflation. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Wholesale Price Index (WPI).

  • Consumer Price Index (CPI)

 The most well-known indicator of inflation is the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The Reserve Bank of Australia defines CPI as a tool which “measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services consumed by households”. In Australia, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) calculates the CPI and publishes the data every quarter.

  • Wholesale price index (WPI)

The wholesale price index (WPI) measures the overall change in the price of products (goods and services) as they leave the place of production or as they enter the production process   – i.e. before they reach consumers. In the U.S. the WPI was renamed the Producer Price Index (PPI).


In the US, inflation is also measured by Personal Consumption Expenditures price index (PCE) which comes from surveys of businesses that measure their customers spending on goods and services. The Federal Reserve (the US central banking system) prefers to use the PCE to measure inflation as it doesn’t rely on the more volatile food and energy prices.

What can cause changes in inflation?

In recent years, inflation has been rising steadily, here and in the US, due to a surge in demand for goods and services after COVID-19 lockdowns, government stimulus spending and supply chain disruptions. However, by December 2022 the rate of inflation in the US had started to slow down, leading some economists to believe that it may have peaked. We say “may have” because although we do our best to use the measures above to predict what’s happening with inflation, it’s far from an exact science.

There are many other factors can cause changes in inflation. For example, natural disasters such as the 2022 floods here in Australia drive inflation as they result in higher prices in agricultural products (e.g. fruit & veggies) due to disrupted supply chains. And, in March 2023, the global banking system reeled from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and a potential failure of First Republic bank and Credit Suisse. This caused stock markets to wobble and consumer confidence to fall.

So, it’s prudent for us to keep an eye on the US market and ask if US inflation peaked. And what does that mean for Australia?

Why do we care about inflation in the US?

Although the Australian economy is not directly tied to the US economy, there are a few ways in which US inflation could indirectly affect the Australian property market to impact Australian property investors.  

For example, in the exchange rate, if the US dollar strengthens as a result of decreasing inflation, this could lead to a stronger Australian dollar. That could make Australian property investments more expensive for foreign investors. On the other hand, if the US dollar weakens, it might make Australian property investments more attractive to foreign investors.

US inflation could also impact the Australian property market’s interest rates. If inflation in the US continues to decrease, it’s likely to lead to lower interest rates in Australia. And lower interest rates equal easier access to financing for property investments. However, if inflation in the US starts to rise again, then we could potentially face more interest rate hikes.

Plus, when the US suffers the collapse of banks, as seen in March 2023, then Australian banks have a harder time convincing Australians that their money and investments are safe. And people are naturally likely to become more cautious about borrowing and investing.

Are there up-sides to high inflation?

In the past, we’ve seen that the top of an inflation cycle was a great time to enter the property market. And many property investors are happy to see some inflation as it raises the value of their assets. As long as they’ve planned for increased mortgage interest repayments and have a rental yield covering those costs.

In the past, we’ve seen that the top of an inflation cycle was a great time to enter the property market. And many property investors are happy to see some inflation as it raises the value of their assets. As long as they’ve planned for increased mortgage interest repayments and have a rental yield covering those costs.

Inflation for 2023 and beyond

In the US, the unemployment rate is at a multi-decade low. The gross domestic product (GDP) has steadily grown and is expected to reach 23618.00 USD Billion by the end of 2023, leaving it in a strong economic position and still celebrated as the world’s largest economy.

In Australia, our GDP in Australia is expected to reach 1571.00 USD Billion by the end of 2023,  to potentially become the world’s 12th largest economy – up one from our current 13th position. Coupled with an historically low unemployment rate, the future looks stable – if not bright!

And after a year of aggressive interest rate hikes, the Reserve Bank of Australia has predicted that the inflation rate will gradually reduce toward the 2-3% inflation target by the end of 2024. And Trading Economics models have predicted that they’ll drop again to 2.5% in 2025.

Overall, while the recent peak in US inflation may have some indirect impacts on the Australian property market, it’s important to remember that there are many factors that affect property prices. And remember that no one can predict the future with absolute certainty.

Fortunately, the experts at Capital Properties have been around long enough to have negotiated inflation changes many times before. And despite these challenges, they’ve helped thousands of ADF members to successfully invest in property for future financial security.

If you’re interested in property investment, it’s important to do your research, seek advice from professionals, and make informed decisions based on your own financial goals and circumstances.

Our Capital Properties Switched-On Strategy Series and Capital Properties Pinnacle Support Program will make sure you’re able to successfully navigate these changes in the Australian property market.

Are you confident you know how to buy well?

Investing in property can be a great way to build wealth over time, but it’s important to make sure you’re buying well. Like any investment, the more you know, the better decisions you will make. With the right guidance, it is possible to make a smart and profitable property purchase. In this blog post, we’ll share tips on how to buy well in the Australian property market.

The Property Investment Specialists at Capital Properties know how to buy well. And it’s our mission to share our knowledge with you and help you prepare for successful investment during our FREE Discovery Session.

On the go? Here’s 30 seconds of take outs:

  • The first step towards successful property investment is to know your budget.
  • Make your money go further & take advantage of ADF benefits with the HPAS, HPSEA & DHOAS – more details below.
  • Research national & local property markets for house prices, rental yields & vacancy rates.
  • Get mortgage pre-approval.
  • Work with a team of professionals to help you achieve your goals.
  • Location is an important factor to consider when buying property.
  • Consider the property’s potential for growth & rental income.
  • Get a building inspection to check property’s condition.
  • Be prepared to negotiate confidently or work with our buyer’s agent services.

Keep reading >>

Know your budget?

The first step you must take towards successful property investment is to determine your budget. It’s wise to do this before you start looking at properties, so that you don’t waste time and resources on properties that are out of your price range.

To begin, you need to examine your current financial situation, including your income from your salary and any other investments. Then you need to make an honest list of all your expenses, related to your family, car, home, shopping, insurances, debts, and miscellaneous spending on leisure and entertainment. Yes, everything! All of this will dictate your future earning potential, how much of a deposit you can afford and your ability to pay off a mortgage. It might be worth meeting with a finance broker and getting a copy of your credit file to definitively establish your borrowing capacity.

Next, you’ll need to consider any future income you might earn if you’re planning to rent out the property and factor in ongoing costs such as property management fees, maintenance costs, and taxes.

Many people aren’t really sure where to start when it comes to budgeting for property investment. When you book a FREE Capital Properties Discovery Session, we’ll help you get a grip on the numbers. Our Property Investment Toolkit makes the process easier, and the Capital Properties Budget Planner is the best online investment calculator you’ll find.

Make the most of your budget

ADF members are often eligible for financial benefits, such as the Home Purchase Assistance Scheme (HPAS), Home Purchase or Sale Expenses Allowance (HPSEA) and the Defence Home Ownership Assistance Scheme (DHOAS). We’ve discussed these in more depth in the blog post: “Buying a house while in the Defence Force”. These benefits/incentives can help you secure a loan with lower interest rates and fewer fees.

It’s important to be realistic when setting your budget. You don’t want to overextend yourself financially, but you also don’t want to miss out on a good investment opportunity because you’re being too conservative. You do need to keep a close eye on your ongoing budget. This is where a cash flow analysis is essential. Check out our post “Getting to know your cash flow: It’s power to you!

Once you know what your budget is, it’s time to start looking at the nitty gritty of how to buy well.

Research, research, research

Before you even start looking at properties, it’s important to do your research. This means understanding the national and local property market and getting a sense of what properties are available within your budget. Start by looking at property websites so you can research median house prices. Investigate the historical trends in the market, such as price growth or decline.

Read updates about what’s happening in the market, such as our recent post “Will Australian house prices drop this year (further)?” And stay informed on the latest property market news, data from reliable sources like Capital Properties Property Investment Resources.

If the plan is to buy an investment property, you’ll want to make sure there’s strong demand for rentals in the area. Look at vacancy rates and rental yields. Next, you’ll need to define your property selection criteria, i.e. what kind of property will attract your ideal “target” tenant. We know that many tenants prefer new builds, so investigate builders and build design. Talk to local real estate agents or property managers to help you make an informed decision on how to buy well. And remember it always pays to get independent valuations.

If this sounds overwhelming, remember that we’re here to help. Our Capital Properties Investment Process is designed to take you through this process step-by-step, all the while empowering you with the knowledge you need to make the best decisions for your circumstances.

Get mortgage pre-approval

Before you can make an offer on properties, or start building, it’s a good idea to get pre-approved for a mortgage. This will give you a clear idea of how much you can borrow and what your interest rate will be. It will also show sellers that you’re a serious buyer and can help you stand out in a competitive market. Learn more about pre-approval in this post “Why being finance ready pays dividends”.

Get a good team around you

When you’re ready to get started in the property market, or even if you’re building on your property portfolio, we strongly recommend that you surround yourself with a team of licensed professionals who know how to buy well.

A good real estate agent is a valuable asset when buying property. They’ll help you find houses that meet your criteria, negotiate with sellers, and guide you through the buying process. If you don’t have time to deal with multiple agents, then work with a Buyers Agent service.

What you want is an agent who has experience working with military buyers and who understands your unique needs and challenges. And ideally work with someone who specialises in investments and knows regional and local area market conditions intimately. The Capital Properties Buyers Agent service will help you find your ideal property and negotiate the lowest price and settlement with ease.

Next, you’ll need to find a great Property Manager who will manage the risks associated with tenancy and landlord agreements. From screening tenants and carrying out routine property inspections to make sure your investment is in great hands.

Don’t forget you’ll also need a professional Mortgage Broker, Accountant and Financial Planner. And if you’re building, you’ll need a Conveyancer or Property Lawyer, Quantity Surveyor and of course a builder that you trust.

Consider the location

You already know that one of the most important factors to consider when buying property is the location. As a member of the ADF, you may be stationed in different locations throughout your career, so it’s important to think about the long-term prospects of the area where you’re buying.

You’ll want to look for areas with strong rental demand, good infrastructure, and a diverse range of employers. Renters also want access key amenities such as schools, shops, and public transport. Right now the number one property driver is lifestyle – we’ve written about what renters and buyers are looking for in this post Lifestyle and the property decision making process”.

Think about the property’s potential

When buying property as an investment, it’s important to think about its potential for growth and rental income. Look for properties that are in good condition and have the potential to be improved with upgrades or renovations in the future.

For most investors it’s key to have a property that starts delivering a rental yield immediately. It’s important to identify your ideal tenant and cater for their needs. Think about the number of rooms required and look for properties with features that will appeal to those tenants such as air conditioning, off-street parking, and modern appliances. The ADF property buyer checklist is a handy quick read to help with making some of these decisions.

Book a building inspection

Before you make an offer on an established property, it’s important to get a building inspection. This will give you a clear idea of the property’s condition and any issues that might need to be addressed. A building inspection can also give you leverage in negotiations with the seller. If the inspection reveals issues that need to be fixed, you can ask the seller to reduce the purchase price or fix the issues before you settle. Our blog post “Why use a building inspector when constructing” is a great read to clarify how a Building Inspector will help.

Brush up on your negotiation skills

From securing finance to the purchase of the property, finding the right tenants, dealing with maintenance/construction and so on, you’ll need to be prepared to negotiate confidently. If you don’t have the time or the expertise to negotiate effectively, then we recommend you work with our buyer’s agent services to negotiate expertly on your behalf instead. Working with professionals will ultimately save you time, stress, and money.

The Capital Properties free Discovery Session will guide you with everything you need to know on how to buy well for effective property investment.

Check out our FREE investor tools: Sign Up to Our Switched-on Property Investors Program| Your free online property investment toolkit

Securing your financial future

Life in the Australian Defence Force can be full of challenges. And we know that it’s easy to get caught up in the busyness of everyday and forget about prioritising your long-term goals. But taking intentional action to secure your financial future as early as possible is a wise move. Being proactive means that you’ll put yourself in the best possible position to achieve the future lifestyle of your dreams.

At Capital Properties, we help to keep our clients on track throughout the year. But it’s a great exercise to take time at the beginning of each new year to review your goals and financial vision to make sure you’re on the right track.

Meet with our experienced Property Investment Specialists at our free Capital Properties Discovery Session and get help setting realistic goals for your future financial security.

On the go? Here’s 30 seconds of take outs:

  • To achieve long-term goals, you must have a well thought out plan that’s easy to stick to.
  • Knowing what floats your boat & having an emotional connection to your end-goal keeps you motivated.
  • Goal setting requires you to visualise a specific outcome & commit to it with an action plan.
  • The Capital Properties Goal Setting Guide will help you work towards your dream lifestyle.
  • Use the SMART framework: Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant & Time-specific.
  • Categorise your goals into short, mid, and long-term goals.
  • Use the Capital Properties Goal Setting Toolkit to review your goals.

Keep reading >>

What drives you?

It’s a fact that most New Year’s Resolutions are destined to fail. And the key reason for that is most people don’t take the time to really nut out their goals for the future, so they’re guessing at a vague outcome. Secondly, they go about it in a way that doesn’t feel easy or convincing.

For example, the New Year’s Resolution to lose weight won’t last more than a few months (if that) unless the person has identified that the reason for their desired weight loss – presumably to become healthier. And within that lofty goal, there must be some achievable smaller goals to keep them on track, e.g., exercise 4 times a week, reduce processed foods and lose 0.5 to 1 kg per week. If people go in without a plan, with forced exercise, starving themselves and expecting to lose 5 kilos asap, then, we’re sorry to say, it’s highly likely that they’ll fail.

And it’s the same with your financial goals. In order to set long-term goals, you must make a plan that’s well thought out and easy to stick to. That means you have to identify your priorities and key motivations in life. Which means asking some hard questions and being honest with yourself about the answers.

One way to help with this process is to ask yourself one fundamental question and think honestly about the answer.

What floats your boat?

There’s no point in setting goals unless you’re clear about the reason ‘why’ behind them. Really knowing what floats your boat is key to achieving your goals. Having an emotional connection to your end-goal will drive your actions and keep you motivated even when the going gets tough.

Having a vague idea of a ‘better future’ is great but it’s not enough to carry you through inevitable setbacks. If/when the poop hits the fan, you need to know the impact it’ll have if you don’t meet the targets you’ve set and adjust your game plan to stay on track.

For some people the goal is to retire early and travel at leisure. Some want to make sure they’re able to pay for their kids and grandkids education. Some want to live debt free in their dream location and enjoy the good life. Whatever your ‘why’ is, knowing what drives you/ floats your boat and working to achieve it is a priority. And the earlier you figure that out, the more targeted you can be in your financial goal setting strategy.

Why is goal setting important?

At Capital Properties we know that having meaningful goals can set you on a path to future financial security. So, once you’ve figured out what drives you/floats your boat, now you can start goal setting and planning to make it a reality. Though knowing what your dream is, isn’t enough. As Antoine de Saint-Exupéry said, A goal without a plan is just a wish.”

 Goal setting requires you to visualise a specific outcome and commit to it by developing an action plan that will ultimately motivate you to achieve your goal. We know that simply thinking positively about our future boosts our ability to create goals, take action to achieve them and take control over the goal outcomes.

How to successfully set goals/ financial vision

The team at Capital Properties are not new to goal setting. In fact, our Founder & Director Marcus Westnedge has written a book about it. This Goal Setting Guide is an inspiring and straightforward guide to help you plan your dream lifestyle and details the steps you need to take you get there. The Psychology of Success” uses a powerful goal setting technique called “The Well-Formed Outcome” which guides you to create your plan of attack and hit each of your targets.

Your financial vision is the specific goal you decide for your future financial security. Everyone has goals that are unique to their personal circumstances. You need to decide what your financial vision is so that you have a specific target to aim for.

If you’ve already read the book and are just here for a quick refresh to review your goals & financial vision, then a great place to start (again) is by goal setting with the SMART framework.

Goal setting using the SMART framework

The SMART framework is a great way to sanity-check your goals to make sure they’re still as relevant as ever and you haven’t strayed too far from your original goalposts. Here’s a quick refresher to make sure your goals are:

– Specific

Make sure your goals are as specific as possible. Confirm the ‘what’, ‘how, ‘when’, ‘where’ and ‘why’. What must I achieve? How am I going to get there? When should I achieve this goal?

– Measurable

Making sure you can quantify the success in achieving your goal makes it easier to track progress.

– Achievable

Make sure your goals are realistic. Talking to experts can help you set realistic boundaries.

– Relevant

This goes back to what drives you – your ‘why’. Is the goal really going to push you towards the life that floats your boat?

– Time-specific

Set a realistic timescale and/or deadline. And work towards a specific date.

Review your Goals & Financial Vision

Once you’ve set your goals and are working towards them, don’t forget to take the time to check in regularly revisit them. This is vital to make sure they’re still relevant and to check that you’re making progress.

As the end-goal can sometimes be off in the far-away distance, it’s vital to set shorter-term goals to keep you on track. These smaller milestones will help you track your headway, make any adjustments if needed and motivate you to continue with your plan. Our Capital Properties Goal Setting Toolkit makes this process far less daunting than it might seem.

It’s also important to set medium-term goals. For example, if your long-term goal is to retire with the income from 4 investment properties and the short-term goal is to funnel 20% of your income into financing these investments, then a medium-term goal might be looking at developing a property over 4-5 years with the intent to add value.

So, categorising your goals into short, mid, and long-term goals and setting them against the SMART framework essentially creates a plan for you to follow. It keeps you accountable. And it allows you to measure your progress, so you know if adjustments need to be made, or if you’re on track for successfully achieving your dream lifestyle.

There’s no time like the present to take control over your future financial security. At Capital Properties we love to see our clients shift their mindset to one of possibility and abundance and take action to create the life they’re dreaming of. Our team will help you stay focused on your goals & financial vision all year round.

Check out our FREE investor tools: Sign Up to Our Switched-on Property Investors Program | Your free online property investment toolkit

Are housing affordability & low rental vacancies driving the rental crisis?

There wasn’t much love in the recent Australian Property Investor magazine headline on  14th Feb 2023 declaring “Rental crisis only going from bad to worse”.

With the last few years of highs and lows in the rental market, the situation shows no sign of stabilising just yet. There are several factors that have contributed to the current position, including a lack of affordable housing, extremely low vacancies, and increased demand. In this blog post, we’ll take a look at these issues and explore how they’re impacting property investors in the Australian Defence Force.

Capital Properties’ Property Investment Tools & Apps will help you adapt to changes in the property market. If you’re just getting started with property investment, then you should come along to our free Capital Properties Discovery Session.

Already on-board? Make the most of our ongoing guidance with our Capital Properties Pinnacle Support Program.

On the go? Here’s 30 seconds of take outs:

  • Median rent values have increased by 22.2% in a year (Sept 2021 – 2022)
  • Rental vacancy rates have fallen to their lowest level in over a decade.
  • Demand for housing far outweighs supply
  • There are calls for regulations to short-term letting in popular tourist areas.
  • The Federal Government has announced a $10 billion Housing Australia Future Fund for 30,000 new homes in the next 5 years.
  • As part of the Victorian Labor Government’s Big Housing Build they’ve committed $50 million to build 130 new homes for youth in regional areas.
  • Asproperty prices look set to fall there are some great opportunities for investors and first home buyers.

Keep reading >>

How did the Australian rental crisis begin?

When COVID-19 first struck in early 2020, Australia’s economy (as well as many other global economies) fell into a brief recession caused by lockdowns and reduced migration. This resulted in plummeting rents. Suddenly CBD apartments were sitting empty, and landlords dropped rents to attract tenants.

However, within mere months the tide began to turn and after September 2020 the rental market began to recover. In fact, the recovery was so immense that in the past two years we’ve seen a surge in the median rent value by a whopping 22.2%. So, what’s driving this change? Let’s look at some of the factors involved:

Demand > supply

Put simply, demand is greater than supply. This effectively means there are not enough homes to keep up with increased population and housing demand. In the year from June 2020 to 2021 there were 214,819 new houses built in Australia. The following year, from June 2021 to June 2022 there were only 174,931 houses built – that’s a shortfall of almost 40,000 houses (18.6% less than the year prior)! Since then, worker shortages, increased building costs and supply chain problems have resulted in many builders stalling, or worse – going bankrupt and leaving projects unfinished, further adding to housing pressures and extremely low vacancies.

Housing affordability

As property prices have steadily risen over the last few years, and surged in some desirable areas, many people have been priced out of the housing market. Some people have been waiting for the market to settle and have missed out altogether. Now with increased mortgage interest rates reducing many people’s borrowing capacity, these people have little chance of escaping the rental rat-race.

Changing family structures

After years of declining divorce rates, the pandemic through 2021 saw an uptick in divorces and presumably a higher percentage of separations – although there’s no data available to demonstrate just how many. The division in these households puts more demand on rental housing.

Internal migration

Between 2016 and 2021, 184,000 people moved from capital cities to regional areas – that’s more than double the rate of internal migration reported in the 2016 Census. This significant shift created unprecedented demand in regional and rural areas putting huge pressure on local vacancy rates.

International migration

Although it might take a little longer before we’re back up to previous immigration numbers, the return of overseas students and travellers means that an already burdened rental market is struggling to cope. As the Labour Government has promised a huge hike in skilled visas this year, this will add even further demand.

The Airbnb effect

The impact of short-term letting through providers like Airbnb and Stayz has made housing affordability a real problem in tourism-rich regional and coastal areas. In some holiday areas such as Byron Bay in NSW, the Gold Coast in Queensland or the Mornington Peninsula in VIC, short-term rentals are having a major impact on supply. This is forcing some states to review the impact of short-term stays and there are increased calls to introduce changes to regulate these markets.

Is there a rental crisis in Australia?

According to recent reports, rental vacancy rates across Australia have fallen to their lowest level in over a decade. While the national rental vacancy rate is at a record low – below 1%, it’s certainly more apparent in some areas. Sydney and Melbourne have only 1% availability, which is an all-time record-low for Melbourne.

Having fewer properties available for rent is driving up the cost of rental accommodation with the price of rent in capital cities up 17.6% for units and 14.6% for houses in 2022.

And the costs are increasing nationwide. Melbourne experienced the biggest unit rent rise with 20%, followed by Sydney (18.6%), Brisbane and Adelaide (both 14.3%), Perth (10.3 %), Hobart (9.%), Darwin (8.%) and Canberra (5.7%).

What does it mean for renters?

The declining housing availability in the rental market, rising weekly rents and ever-increasing living costs means that many people are seriously struggling.

In a recent ABC news article, Jacob Visser of Visser Estate Agents said rental availability was the worst he’d seen in more than 10 years working in the industry: I’ve never witnessed, or experienced, the levels of crisis we are currently seeing“… “Tenants are desperate – really, really desperate,” he said.

News reports show people lining up around blocks to view houses, with sometimes up to a hundred people attending inspections. Many properties are receiving close to 30 applications and people are applying sight unseen. Some applicants are even offering higher than the advertised rent, pushing prices up for everyone. And although the rental crisis is affecting everybody, the young to early middle age population are feeling it the most.

Is the rental crisis going to get better this year?

Although the rental market is always in a state of flux, the prediction for many renters this year looks grim.  The recent news that 6600 affordable homes are being removed from the National Rental Affordability Scheme this year, is adding further distress for disadvantaged renters. The scheme gave property owners a subsidy of nearly $11,000 annually for 10 years for renting out newly built houses at 20% less than the market rate. Queensland is due to lose 2500 homes, while Victoria will lose 1350, Western Australia is to lose 1100 and 605 properties gone in NSW. Plus, a further 9200 houses are to leave the scheme in 2024.

Under increasing pressure, the Federal Government have announced a $10 billion Housing Australia Future Fund to build 30,000 new social and affordable homes in the next five years. However, many campaigners are arguing that this falls far short of what is needed.

On 13th February 2023, the Victorian Labor Government announced a $50 million investment to build 10 new housing projects (more than 130 new homes) for young people across the state in Werribee, Wangaratta, Wodonga, Shepparton (Mooroopna), Bairnsdale, Mildura, Reservoir, South Morang and Frankston. This funding is part of the Labor Government’s landmark $5.3 billion Big Housing Build.

What can be done to solve the rental crisis?

A recent report by the Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute (AHURI), suggested that more assistance from the government was required to help shift more tenants into home ownership: “Investors should be encouraged to participate in social, community and affordable government housing programs.…On top of that, seeing meaningful improvements in gross rental yields this quarter will hopefully encourage investor activity helping to address supply issues.”

Taking advantage of falling property prices & government grants

As property prices look set to fall across many Australian regions this year, there are some great opportunities for investors and first home buyers.

With government grants for ADF members such as The Victorian First Home Owners Grant and The $10,000 NSW government grant as well as the Regional First Home Buyer Guarantee, there are some excellent incentives to buy a property now.

The recipe of historic low rental vacancies with high yields, makes it a dream scenario for property investors considering entering the market, or expanding their portfolio. And with attractive asset depreciation tax benefits for new properties which can attract better quality tenants, the outcome for investors looks favourable.

It’s essential for property investors to stay informed about market trends and conditions. Our Capital Properties Switched-On Strategy Series and Capital Properties Pinnacle Support Program will make sure you stay ahead of the changes.

Being strategic in your investment decisions and working with experienced property investment professionals, ADF investors can build a successful property portfolio to deliver stable rental incomes and long-term growth.

In July 2022, the team at Capital Properties identified that lifestyle had become increasingly important to Aussie home buyers in our blog post: The big shift in Australian demographics.  In that post we predicted that this trend would continue to grow, along with a push for eco-friendly builds and green energy. Well, not quite a year later, we’re back to confirm that lifestyle is the number one driver of the property decision making process.

In today’s blog post we’ll examine what’s causing this shift towards lifestyle-friendly living and what buyers are actually thinking and feeling when they make the decision to purchase a lifestyle property. And we’ll share tips on how to choose properties that will appeal to lifestyle buyers.

We also discuss property trends and make sure you’re well placed to take advantage of them during our free Capital Properties Discovery Session. And if you’re already managing one or more investments, remember that our Pinnacle Support Program will keep you moving in the right direction.

As always, the Capital Property Investor Tools are available to help you with your property investment journey.

On the go? Here’s 30 seconds of take outs:

  • Environmental factors affect purchasing decisions, e.g. population growth means more demand.
  • Although location is key, buyers are looking away from cities and shifting towards lifestyle, and ideally beach living.
  • Properties that offer prestige, status and great design are more important to buyers now than ever before.
  • There are 7 factors that drive the property decision making process:
  1. Emotion
  2. Cultural superstitions
  3. Perceived value
  4. First impressions
  5. A home that tells a story
  6. Social proof
  7. The ideal lifestyle

Keep reading >>

Predicting the property market

Before you call us soothsayers, we’ll be honest and tell you the key to our accurate prediction has nothing to do with magical fortune-telling and everything to do with research.

In our role as your Property Investment specialist advisors, we spend many hours looking at market trends, past and present. We regularly examine sales data across all Australian states and territories and investigate what’s happening in each market.

That includes looking at what infrastructure projects are in the works or planned. If the demographic of a certain area is shifting, key industry changes, etc, etc. And we look to experts like Bernard Salt for their take on Australian geographic and demographic culture. Again, we’ve discussed Bernard before in the blog: The big shift in Australian demographics.

What drives the property decision making process?

If lifestyle is the number one driver of the property decision making process, then what’s driving this? As always, there are multiple factors at play.

Looking back we can see how environmental factors affect our purchasing decisions. For example, in the first half of the 2010s, a surge in population meant that not enough homes were built to keep up with demand. International students poured into city centres and foreign investor demand soared.

Almost suddenly, apartment construction boomed. With more than 700,000 new apartments, units and townhouses built across Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane in that decade, along with more than a million houses!

But each of these purchases was motivated not only by necessity, but by desire. Yes, people need places to live, but what drives people to choose one area or one property over another? What really drives the property decision making process?

What are home buyers looking for?

Of course, almost every home purchase starts with the location. Even if the requirement to move is driven by relationship changes, work opportunities, investment potential or lifestyle aspirations. The first consideration is usually…where?

The new flexibility of working from home for many people post pandemic has caused a significant shift in where people choose to live. Because the need to be close to work is less important, people now look for properties offering prestige and status. That means that design has become more important to buyers, within their price range obviously.

But, the truth is that the practicality of choosing where to live is always overwhelmed by the psychological factors that influence a home buyer’s decision.

When it comes to buying a home, we choose with our hearts, not our heads!

The property decision making process

Some years ago, CoreLogic (Australia’s leading provider of property data and analytics) reported that there are 7 psychological factors that drive the property decision making process. And believe it or not, location and price don’t get a look in!

Instead, the 7 factors that drive the property decision making process are:

  1. Emotion
  2. Cultural superstitions
  3. Perceived value
  4. First impressions
  5. A home that tells a story
  6. Social proof
  7. The ideal lifestyle

1. Emotion

Although it’s useful for home buyers and in particular, investors, to keep their emotions in check, it’s naive to think we won’t have an emotional response when purchasing property. It’s why the Capital Properties team invest so much time in property market research and created our Goal Setting Guide, amongst many other Property Investment Resources to keep you on track and focused.

But, for the average home buyer, emotions take over. In fact, in past surveys, a significant amount of Australian home buyers reported that they were happy to pay more for a property if they “really liked it”. 

2. Cultural superstitions

OK, most of us Aussies think we’re not the most superstitious bunch, but at the same time, you’ll rarely meet a person brave enough to light three cigarettes with the same match. And many of us would think twice about buying house number 13.

Whereas the number 4 is considered to be bad luck in some cultures, because it sounds like “shi” which translates to death in Mandarin. So, it’s still relevant to keep superstitions in mind as an essential part of the property decision making process.

3. Perceived value

It’s only natural that buyers want to get the biggest bang for their buck. Walking into a well-presented house will appeal to most buyers because they know they won’t be faced with any unexpected expenses in the near future. But buyers that spot damp patches in ceilings or musty smelling carpets will be immediately suspicious that the property could turn out to be a money pit – i.e. everyone’s worst nightmare!

4. First impressions matter

First impressions matter, because they last far beyond that first moment. This is due to something called the ‘primacy effect’, which means that when we’re exposed to a sequence of things, we tend to remember the first thing the most.

And when we think about first impressions of a property, we’re talking curb appeal, natural light, a clean uncluttered environment, and quality furnishings/fittings.

5. A home that tells a story

As investors, we tend look at properties using a more logical frame of mind, often using tried and tested formulas to select properties without acknowledging any sentimental attachments. However, we need to be mindful that buyers WILL have an emotional response to the home – and we want it to be a good one.

Buyers love to hear about the history of the house, or if the property is new, create a story about the area it’s been built in. Hearing stories about the designer/ builder designing a specific corner for the Christmas tree to be positioned, or how the kitchen’s been designed for an enthusiastic home chef, can make a real impact on the property decision making process. Painting a picture of the lifestyle the buyer is aspiring to is a winning strategy.

6. Social proof/ Testimonials

People don’t buy from businesses; they buy from people. And we want to know that the people we’re buying from know their stuff and are trustworthy. That’s why social proof from past/existing clients is so important. Bad reviews are bad for business, but good reviews will reassure buyers that they’re making the best decision.

7. The ideal lifestyle

Last, but certainly not least – buyers aren’t just purchasing a house, they’re investing in their ideal lifestyle. Right now, and for the foreseeable future, that means sea-changes for a large portion of the Australian population.

As we discussed in The big shift in Australian demographics, and The great interstate migrate, Aussies are migrating to beach side living more than ever before. People are looking away from the city as their centre point and getting as close as they can to the relaxed beachside locales. At Capital Properties, we’ll advise you how to choose properties that will appeal to lifestyle buyers.

Now that you know that lifestyle is the number one driver of the property decision making process, we can help you find the property that delivers on this. Simply contact Capital Properties today.

Book a free Discovery Session to find out more and let us help you achieve future financial security.

In this blog post, we’ll examine some of the key factors that are likely to shape the housing market in 2023, and what they could mean for ADF members and their families.

Let’s kick off by remembering that the Australian property market had been on a healthy upward trend for the past few years with an unprecedented surge in some areas. That was driven by low interest rates, strong population growth, government stimulus and housing demand. However, the pandemic, global economic downturn, higher inflation, and reduced migration are just a few of the factors that have caused a recent slump in house prices.

We’ll take a closer look at some of these factors to answer the question that everyone’s asking – will Australian house prices drop this year?

Capital Property investment specialists have lived experience navigating volatile markets and interest rate fluctuations. We can steer you in the right direction to take advantage of opportunities in today’s market.  Book a discovery call with Capital Properties today.

Capital Property investment specialists have lived experience navigating volatile markets and interest rate fluctuations. We can steer you in the right direction to take advantage of opportunities in today’s market.  Book a discovery call with Capital Properties today.

On the go? Here’s 30 seconds of take outs:

  • After some record highs in property markets in recent years, last year’s dip was expected.
  • The RBA rate hikes meant reduced borrowing capacities & higher mortgage costs, pricing some investors out of the market.
  • With the last hike expected this quarter, investors are ready to take advantage of lower entry price points & great rental yield in high growth areas.
  • Increased migration means higher demand for housing & a strong rental market.
  • Buyers will pay more for their ideal home & in-demand locations.
  • The Capital Properties team can help you navigate changing Australian house prices.

Keep reading >>

How have Australian house prices changed in recent months?

Earlier this month, CoreLogic (Australia’s leading property data & analytics provider) reported a massive drop of Australian home values by an estimated average of $64,820 since May 2022.  This is mostly due to the Royal Bank of Australia’s relentless rate rises in the past 9 months.

These rate hikes have meant that many people have been left with a reduced borrowing capacity. At the current cash rate at 3.10%, some people’s borrowing capacities have dropped by almost 30%. And the higher interest costs have made some buyers wary of purchasing property at all.

With more hikes expected at some point this year, those asking “will Australian house prices drop this year?” might be expecting a grim outlook. But it’s not all bad news. And as Albert Einstein said, “in the midst of every crisis, lies great opportunity.”

Where have Australian house prices dropped the most?

Australian house prices have dropped by an average of 8.4% between May 2022 and January 2023.

The highest fall in property values were seen in Australia’s three largest cities, with Sydney falling -13%, Melbourne dropping by -8.6% and Brisbane coming down by -10%.  Perth remained more stable, with values falling by approximately 4-6%. While suburban house prices in Adelaide stayed constant.

The top 10 areas that fared the worst were in Sydney suburbs with Narrabeen topping the list of reduced house values – down by -15-20%. However, it’s worth noting that a correction was almost inevitable after an increase of 40% in house costs in that area during in the boom.

What caused Australian house prices to drop?

As we mentioned earlier, there are multiple factors that caused Australian house prices to drop in the past year. Some of these are obvious. The pandemic meant that migration and population growth was dramatically reduced, so there was less demand for houses, particularly rental properties.

And the post-pandemic recovery effort to reduce inflation, meant that concern about declining property values and rising mortgage rates was at an all-time high.

Many potential buyers were excluded from taking out home loans with lenders cautiously loaning only to those who could handle the higher interest rates. And some had their borrowing power reduced so much that they were priced out of their ideal market.

The rising inflation costs and corresponding increased cost of living also means increased overall personal debt, making it harder to save for the deposit.

When house prices drop, opportunities await

Most experienced investors understand that real estate is a long-term game and will have had contingency plans in place to deal with the increased temporary costs. However, the past year has seen some investors proceed with caution. Nobody wants to purchase an asset that could end up being worth less that you paid for, no matter how good the rental yields are during the time. Therefore, many investors have watched and waited and are now poised to buy as soon as the downturn has stabilised.

With the last predicted rate hike expected in this first quarter of this year, it’s likely that demand will increase as investors take advantage of the lower Australian house price entry points and high rental income. Not to mention the opportunities for capital gains when purchasing in high growth areas.

What factors boost Australian house prices?

Again, there are multiple factors that will influence the increase of Australian house prices, but one of the biggest must be the imminent population growth.

A recent commitment from the Australian Prime Minister, Anthony Albanese, to tackle the gap in skilled workers, is allowing for a significant increase to the quota for the Permanent Migration Program. That means Australia is about to witness a huge surge in immigration – potentially the biggest we’ve ever seen.

The trend of inter-state travel also seems set to continue as people adapt to their new post-pandemic, work-from-anywhere freedoms!

And of course, we are finally ready to welcome overseas students back to our shores. As Australia has the significantly highest ratio of international students per capita in the world, it’s expected that we’ll be able to facilitate up to 870,000 students this year.

Each of these will create strong demand for rental properties across the nation, driving up rent and competition.

Will Australian house prices drop this year? – Not if you choose the right house

Now that many people are continuing to work from home and are no longer tied down to a specific area, they’re actively searching out lifestyle-enriching properties. They want to live in homes that allow them to work, live and entertain in comfort.

Buyers look for easy access to amenities such as community facilities, good schools, retail, entertaining and sporting resources. And recent Australian house sales data shows that buyers are happy to pay a price premium for their ideal home, in their preferred location.

The Capital Properties team can help you navigate Australian house prices with a strategic approach to identifying which area and property has sound property investment fundamentals.

Navigating changing Australian house prices

At Capital Properties, our vision is to see today’s generation of Defence personnel become switched-on property investors and achieve future financial security. We can help you navigate changing Australian house prices.

As ex-Defence Force members ourselves, we recommend investment property advice and strategies that we know are affordable and within reach even early in your Defence career.

Our team of experienced property investment mentors will help you get on top of your financial literacy with streamlined property investment education and a strategic property plan, << link to Strategy Sessions>> empowering you every step of the way.

And our buyer’s agent service can help you source all types of property options, including residential and industrial. We research the current market and recommend investment properties with higher yield potential, as well as high growth opportunities.

The Capital Properties team are property investment experts who are passionate about helping you develop a wealth building strategy. We’ll help you manoeuvre through the challenges of property investment so that you’ll always feel empowered to make the right decisions for your financial future.

Book a free Discovery Session today and let’s get started.

Capital Properties

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